Zardari assumed office as President of Pakistan 9 September 2008, his tenure would end the same day 2013.
There is no convention of "when" the president would be re-elected, and remember Musharraf got himself re-elected a bit early than his tenure as President from his own hand picked parliament. it is just another precedence, but very useful in hour of need.
what is Zardari's plan, what is his great game? for obvious reasons if he wants to survive in Pakistani environment there is only one place that he can remain safe. that is president house. establishment will not try to kill a president, at any given time, as this is one of their leverage spaces into power.
anyway, back to what is aim of Zardari. obviously its to maintain himself as President.
first let me counter what is meant by not to be the president, well the answer is simple to be party head of PPPP, which is not in good books of Establishment... and that establishment has a history of terminating party leaders.
Now what are Zardari's options to remain alive and in power?
To me its to remain as President. plain and simple. and thats the only position safest for him to continue playing his game and since we have a parliamentary system therefore, 2/3 majority is probably least expected to be a way to terminate Zardari from Presidency.
now there are two possibilities how Zardari can remain in office.
1- Delay elections for another year/6 months so that he is coming to end of his tenure and get re-elected by the same parliament where he clearly has majority, unless MQM and ANP backs out and do not participate in an "apparent protest" same can be done by PMLN, who thus far has earned the label of friendly opposition aka SamjhotaExpress. and thus Zardari would be re-elected for another 5 years. that is till 2018
2- He gets re-elected before his tenure, that is he decides like Musharraf to get the necessary vote from the parliament for his second term (precedence by musharraf) so in this scenario as well you have president Zardari for another 5 years.
Now I will leave the question to you guys, how Zardari would create such a situation that would delay elections for another 6 months/Year with accordance to the constitutional requirements.
and/or would get re-elected from this parliament well before the end of his tenure.
PPPP already has majority in Senate.
To me if this parliament is not send home early, or elections are not Announced (which also reside with Zardari with precedence given by Yahya to delay the results as well) and that Gilani said that even if PMLN resigns we shall continue to "complete" our tenure. although that would be a bit difficult..
its not about Gilani sorry if we are diverted towards him
its about Zardari getting re-elected by this parliament, be it stretched or be it early re-election of president.
Its about Zardari stupid !!!
and he surely has a chance from this parliament that is being considered as "sacred to save the system" by a friendly opposition and coalition of the corrupt five is obviously going to run it till the re-election takes place.
re-election of Zardari will also ensure a strong position for PPP in next general elections. remember we are on tentative schedule...
so there is no issue whatsoever regarding the conventions or what can they do and what they cannot...
The question is what can be done to stop this from happening?
If he is re-elected, what will be the situation then?