Some facts about the Haqqani network:
The Haqqani network is an Afghan group with close ties to the Taliban. They completely control the Afghan provinces of Khost, Paktia, Paktika; & have a huge presence/operate freely in Logar, Wardak, Ghazni & Kabul. They even support the Taliban network in Nangarhar, Helmand, and Kandahar. Just like the Taliban, the Haqqanis are a purely Afghan phenomena.
Will the US attacking the Haqqanis in North Waziristan, Pakistan (Khost, Paktia in Afghanistan as well) make a difference? As the above evidence shows, no. The Haqqanis will strike them back, & with the NATO/US Forces departure deadline looming, they will hit the US/NATO Forces harder in Eastern Afghanistan, & will survive. The US policy will fail to materialize, just like the 2009 surge failed. The US & NATO Forces are increasingly being seen as invaders, the Karzai regime a propped up puppet government; & there is nothing that can change that in Afghanistan.
Will the US be able to pressurize Pakistan into taking action against the Haqqanis? No. Pakistan is impartial to the Haqqanis, & will in most likelihood not attack them.
The US has failed to declare the Haqqani network as a terrorist group. The US has failed to provide evidence of the Haqqani network being responsible for high level attacks in Afghanistan (the Rabbani one or the president's brother one), nor providing any evidence of the ISI supporting the Haqqani network. Unless the US does not do any of the following, it will not be able to force Pakistan in taking actions against the Haqqanis.
Pakistan will sit on the fence, watching the US & the Haqqanis dish it out on their own, making sure there is as little spillover violence in Pakistan, in the form of retaliatory attacks.
The Haqqani network is an Afghan group with close ties to the Taliban. They completely control the Afghan provinces of Khost, Paktia, Paktika; & have a huge presence/operate freely in Logar, Wardak, Ghazni & Kabul. They even support the Taliban network in Nangarhar, Helmand, and Kandahar. Just like the Taliban, the Haqqanis are a purely Afghan phenomena.
Will the US attacking the Haqqanis in North Waziristan, Pakistan (Khost, Paktia in Afghanistan as well) make a difference? As the above evidence shows, no. The Haqqanis will strike them back, & with the NATO/US Forces departure deadline looming, they will hit the US/NATO Forces harder in Eastern Afghanistan, & will survive. The US policy will fail to materialize, just like the 2009 surge failed. The US & NATO Forces are increasingly being seen as invaders, the Karzai regime a propped up puppet government; & there is nothing that can change that in Afghanistan.
Will the US be able to pressurize Pakistan into taking action against the Haqqanis? No. Pakistan is impartial to the Haqqanis, & will in most likelihood not attack them.
The US has failed to declare the Haqqani network as a terrorist group. The US has failed to provide evidence of the Haqqani network being responsible for high level attacks in Afghanistan (the Rabbani one or the president's brother one), nor providing any evidence of the ISI supporting the Haqqani network. Unless the US does not do any of the following, it will not be able to force Pakistan in taking actions against the Haqqanis.
Pakistan will sit on the fence, watching the US & the Haqqanis dish it out on their own, making sure there is as little spillover violence in Pakistan, in the form of retaliatory attacks.