What's new

Pakistan Economic Growth rate Watch Thread

1. so the economic growth rate will increase to 7% but inflation remain flat at 6%? wow. what happened to demand pull inflation? i need to get rid of my macroecon books

2. and how come next year's growth rate will increase to 6.5%? An increase of 1.5% points? Only if manufacturing growth picks up (i hope it will due to improvement in energy) and negative trend in exports is reversed, we may be able to achieve close to 6% growth after accounting for CPEC investment.
 
1. so the economic growth rate will increase to 7% but inflation remain flat at 6%? wow. what happened to demand pull inflation? i need to get rid of my macroecon books

2. and how come next year's growth rate will increase to 6.5%? An increase of 1.5% points? Only if manufacturing growth picks up (i hope it will due to improvement in energy) and negative trend in exports is reversed, we may be able to achieve close to 6% growth after accounting for CPEC investment.

We are not going to achieve above 6% for long time though this year growth rate will matter alot.Lets see if Dar indeed can cross the 5% mark and if does than by 2018 we may surpass 6%.

Currently IMF and WB project 4.5% for this year
 
Pakistan shares edge higher; rupee stronger, o/n rates flat
By REUTERS
May 17, 2016


KARACHI: Pakistani stocks edged higher in volatile trade on Tuesday, led by a rise in global oil prices, dealers said.

The benchmark 100-share index of the Pakistan Stock Exchange closed up 0.03 percent, or 11.75 points, at 36,137.12.The index went up as much as 265 points intraday led by oil stocks as international oil prices hit a six-month high, said Hammad Aman, manager, equity sales at Topline Securities Pvt Ltd.

Oil traded at around $49 a barrel on Tuesday, supported by supply outages in Nigeria, Canada and other producers that are eroding a persistent glut.

Pakistan Petroleum Ltd gained 1.57 percent, while Pakistan Oilfields Ltd rose 0.38 percent.

The rupee ended at 104.66/104.72 against the dollar, compared with Monday´s close of 104.69/104.74Overnight rates in the money market were steady at 6.20 percent from the previous session. ($1 = 104.6500 Pakistani rupees)
 
Pakistan misses economic growth target

KHALEEQ KIANI — UPDATED ABOUT 2 HOURS AGO
ISLAMABAD: The country missed the economic growth target for the current financial year by a wide margin mainly because of widespread dismal performance by the agriculture sector. The gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.7 per cent against the target of 5.5pc.

At a meeting on Friday of the national accounts committee comprising senior representatives from the four provinces and regions and technical experts, the performance of all economic sectors was added up that showed higher than targeted growth by the industrial sector. The services sector achieved its growth target of 5.7pc.

But the most worrying aspect of the year was a 0.19pc negative growth by agriculture as a whole against the target of 3.9pc.

Cotton output led the freefall in the agriculture sector, considered the backbone of the national economy, as it posted a negative growth of 27pc. The cotton output stood at 10.1 million bales against the target of 13.96m bales. Last year, its output stood at 13.9m bales with a 9.5pc growth.

The industrial sector, favoured by PML-N, booms as the agriculture sector suffers in the current financial year

As a result, cotton ginning declined by 21pc against the target of 5pc. Important crops output fell by 7.18pc against the target of 3.2pc, while other crops fell by 6.2pc against the target of 4.5pc.

Wheat production grew by a meager 0.61pc to 25.47 million tonnes.

The livestock sector grew by 3.63pc, but remained short of the 4.1pc target, while fisheries increased by 3.3pc, surpassing the 3pc target. Forestry was the only saving grace in the agriculture sector as it grew by 8.8pc against the target of 4pc.
On an overall basis, industry grew by 6.8pc against the target of 6.4pc. It was supported by the construction and electricity sectors — the linchpins of the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz government’s development focus.
Last year, industry had grown by 3.6pc.

The mining and quarrying sector grew by 6.8pc against the target of 6pc, but the overall manufacturing sector could not meet growth expectations. The manufacturing sector posted a growth of 5pc, but remained short of the 6.1pc target. It had grown by 3.2pc last year.

The most important sector in industrial domain — large scale manufacturing (LSM) — also could not meet its growth target of 6pc. It grew by 4.6pc. LSM had improved by only 2.4pc last year. Small and household manufacturing grew by 8.2pc against the target of 8.3pc.

The construction sector grew by 13.1pc as it went beyond the 8.5pc target, while electricity generation and gas distribution improved by 12.2pc against the target of 6pc.

The services sector could meet the target of 5.7pc, but this was mainly supported by an increase in the salary of government employees. This was evident from an 11.13pc growth in general government services against the target of 6pc.

Transport, storage and communication services grew by 4.1pc against the target of 6.1pc, while wholesale and retail trade improved by 4.57pc against the target of 5.5pc.

The finance and insurance sector exceeded the target of 6.5pc with a 7.1pc growth. Housing services stood at 3.99pc against the target of 4pc.

Likewise, other private services improved by 6.64pc against the target of 6.4pc.

Published in Dawn, May 21st, 2016

http://www.dawn.com/news/1259741/pakistan-misses-economic-growth-target
 
Already Posted

Dar sahab last week said that he will achieve it beyond 5% for this year,with merely 3 weeks remaining,Lets wait what it turns out to be

Stop fooling yourself and others. The veteran money launderer is yet to achieve a single budget target. This a hole is only expert in two things, money laundering and forged figures.

The reality of pak economy is quite disturbing at the moment. No wonder these scums keep getting richer with every tenure.
 
Stop fooling yourself and others. The veteran money launderer is yet to achieve a single budget target. This a hole is only expert in two things, money laundering and forged figures.

The reality of pak economy is quite disturbing at the moment. No wonder these scums keep getting richer with every tenure.

The govt has clearly failed on economy.Infact such figures were even possible under PPP if they had the support of historic low oil prices and relatively improved security situation.
 
because of very bad performance of Agriculture sector government not able to achieve the target.
 

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom