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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

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I am not sure where nuclear comes into the picture here.
Ukraine was a nuclear state and probably still has a capability to build an A-weapon. They can argue , that formally the Budapest Memoradum was cancelled. With this many medium States, could second guess their policy.

How many nukes did the US drop on Japan? It only takes a few instances of mass destruction before the other side surrenders.
A Thermobaric weapon is not an A-weapon, anyway the Ukrainians seem to be very motivated, and even using an A-weapon would not force a surender

What Russia wants to strategically achieve in this war is still a great mistery to me.
 
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Putin seems losing the nerves. He plans general mobilization.

700,000 men will be called in.

Will be a total war.

No longer special military operation bullshit.

Wars rarely go to plan. Best option is too go all in.
 
What Russia wants to strategically achieve in this war is still a great mistery to me.

I believe this war was engineered by the US/UK and continental Europe got played. US/UK deliberately sabotaged the growing detente and economic partnership between Europe and Russia.

The Western narrative is that Putin wants to recreate the USSR but, if that were true, he would start with the resource rich CARs. He can swallow them up in a week with minimal resistance.

I find the Russian narrative more credible: that ethnic Russians were being killed in eastern Ukraine and that Zelensky is a US puppet who was planning to join NATO. US did not tolerate Russian missiles in Cuba. Why should Russia tolerate the reverse on its borders? The US/UK pushed NATO eastwards, with the deliberate aim to provoke Russia, and Western Europe was dumb enough to not foresee the consequences.
 
I believe this war was engineered by the US/UK and continental Europe got played. US/UK deliberately sabotaged the growing detente and economic partnership between Europe and Russia.

The Western narrative is that Putin wants to recreate the USSR but, if that were true, he would start with the resource rich CARs. He can swallow them up in a week with minimal resistance.

I find the Russian narrative more credible: that ethnic Russians were being killed in eastern Ukraine and that Zelensky is a US puppet who was planning to join NATO. US did not tolerate Russian missiles in Cuba. Why should Russia tolerate the reverse on its borders? The US/UK pushed NATO eastwards, with the deliberate aim to provoke Russia, and Western Europe was dumb enough to not foresee the consequences.
You don`t see the narrative of the countries in Central-Eastern Europe. Remember, the EU has Western and Eastern Members. The Eastern members have a similar potential to the Russia, if not bigger. The Partnership with Russia will be possible, when Russia really reconciles with the Countries of Central-Eastern Europe and stops it`s imperial ambitions. Russia, due to its bullying policy was seen as a growing threat on the other hand NATO/EU expansion brings stability and wealth. The Ukranians see this in exactly in the same way, you did even have to push any expansion ( aka aggressive NATO ). This is the effect of stupid Russian policy.

btw. Stop mixing USSR with Russia. Cuban missle crisis was with the USSR, Russia did not exist as Country then!
 
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Video of the battle on the borders of Russia and Ukraine near the Sevsky district of the Bryansk region. On the evening of April 25, a Ukrainian group in two cars drove up to the checkpoint and tried to break through into Russia, failing to achieve this, shelling Russian territory from mortars began. The fighters of the Russian army from Tuva suppressed the firing point and destroyed the Ukrainian car with return fire, later a Russian helicopter came to the rescue, the remnants of the Ukrainian soldiers retreated.

 
1. The long term contracts are in USD / EUR not Rubles, you cannot change the currency without renegociating the contracts. Hence the Buyer -> Gazprombank (EUR -> RUB) -> Gazprom schema companies are using. It`s not paying in Rubles.

2. Russia needs to buy medicine or non santioned components with USD / EUR. The sancions are not a trade embargo. Russia is very import dependent.

3. Russia just put a Gas embargo on Poland and broke contracts. This massivelly improved the perception of Russia. The game is to lure Russian to put embargos on other countries and by this force sanction it self ;)

How can Russia honor those "agreements" if EU imposed sanctions on them that they can't use the Euros? It is actually the sanctions that have violated those agreements. Since there is no UN resolution that imposed sanctions on Russia, the sanctions imposed by EU are not enforceable in any court.

Second, Russia is not a member state in the EU, meaning the EU can't initiate unilateral sanctions on Russia without a UNSC resolution. And since the EU unilaterally initiated these actions any way, then Russia also has the legal means to initiate unilateral actions with respect to those agreements. In essence, by demanding ruble for gas, Russia is alleviating itself from the effects of those unilateral sanctions.

Finally, if the EU is going to argue that they initiate the sanctions due to the Special Military Operation in Ukraine, the EU didn't get endorsement in the UNSC nor did #ICJ action support the actions of EU. And in conclusion, Russia have the legal justification to alleviate itself from effects either by 1) demanding ruble for gas payments; 2) by stopping delivering gas to EU countries who sanctioned Russia.
 
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