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Opinionated - Will Putin be hanged like Saddam or commit suicide like Hitler?

Will Putin be hanged like Saddam or commit suicide like Hitler?


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Today russian currency was traded at 85 rubles per dollar.

Russia planned a budget deficit of 1,8trln rubles for 2023, but it is only June and the budget deficit is 3,9trln rubles and will be 7-8trln rubles by the end of this year.

Russia funds its budget deficit with its dollar Reserve Fund that has 6,3trln rubles. They thought this Reserve Fund will last for three years of war, but it seems like they will exhaust this Reserve Fund by the end of this year.

In addition, Russia's trade balance and current account balance is worsening due to Western oil/gas embargo and price cap on the Russian energy....Budget revenues from oil/gas decreased by 46% this year.

Exhaustion of the dollar Reserve Fund on the one hand and worsening of the current account balance on the other hand will devalue russian ruble even further by 2024.

In addition, Russia will have to heavily borrow money on the domestic market to fund its 2024 budget deficit.

Devaluation of the Russian currency in 2024 due to decreased supply of dollars (due to worsening of the current account balance and exhaustion of the dollar Reserve Fund) will increase inflation and will force Russian Central Bank to tighten monetary policy and increase interest rate.

Tight monetary policy on the one hand and heavy demand for money from the government on the other hand (due to heavy borrowings) will increase bank interest rates even further and result in recession in Russia in 2024.

Next year nominal GDP per capita and average salary in countries like Turkey and Kazakhstan will probably surpass nominal GDP per capita and average salary in Russia.

Next year it will be very difficult for Russia to fund its expensive war in Ukraine, while undefeated Ukraine will still be funded and armed by the entire West.

Everything is moving towards disaster......
 
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were obama and bush hanged or put on trial for war-crimes in iraq and afghanistan?
No, Bush does paintings these days and Obama is making millions off of speeches (probably talking about hooman rights) and they both live comfy lives. Oh and Cheney is teaching political science in a university. Those students of his shouldn't be let near any sort of authority. Not even the utility companies as they'll likely poison the water supply.

@-=virus=-
 
No, Bush does paintings these days and Obama is making millions off of speeches (probably talking about hooman rights) and they both live comfy lives. Oh and Cheney is teaching political science in a university. Those students of his shouldn't be let near any sort of authority. Not even the utility companies as they'll likely poison the water supply.

@-=virus=-
Bush I think paints veterans etc, I think its sort of therapeutic for him.. 9/11, all those wars under him, dead murricans. Still a billionaire.. Obama, Clinton live the good life too. Jimmy Carter (1 termer) is unique, apparently flys coach, no secret service, and doesn't involve himself in politics at all, he's very old at this stage too, almost a 100.
 
Russian soldiers are surrendring in droves.

Putin's end is nearing and Russia will be balkanized shortly.

 
The response to this question is similar to asking whether Tony Blair and George W. Bush will face punishment for their responsibility in the deaths of over a million Iraqis and the devastation caused to the country. Another related query would be whether they will be held accountable for initiating a war based on false claims of weapons of mass destruction.
 
Russian President Putin and Belarus President Lukashenko have fled their countries to save their lives.

Kazakhstan has refused to give assylm or air passage clearence to Russian President Putin.
 

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