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Pentagon analyzing China-India tensions

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Pentagon analyzing potential China-India tensions

The Pentagon's Office of Net Assessment is continuing its focus on China as one of the nation's primary future trouble spots, as it has commissioned two studies of Chinese relations and intentions, military contract records show.

ONA is a Pentagon think tank chartered with the task of studying potential future trouble spots and shaping the military response to them. It has long predicted problems with China over the nation's growing military and demand for natural resources to fuel its manufacturing economy. A Washington Post report in August 2012 quoted a foreign policy strategist calling ONA the "Office of Threat Inflation" for its fixation on China and promotion of a military strategy called Air-Sea Battle.

In recent weeks, the office has commissioned studies on "Mining the Gaps in Chinese Strategic Discourse" for $199,800 from a Georgia firm called Joint Management Services, which is run by Georgia Tech professor Michael Salomone, and a $220,000 contract to the Hudson Institute, a conservative Washington think tank, for a study on issues in the strategic contest between China and India.

China and India have long had a tense relationship, including a brief 1962 war over the nations' border in the Himalayan Mountains. China has been a longtime supporter of Pakistan, India's western neighbor. Both nations have rapidly growing economies that compete for many of the same natural resources.

The Hudson Institute, which contains several ONA alumni, has a long record of viewing China's activities with concern and skepticism. Recent articles published by Hudson scholars include those entitled "China's Growing Challenge to U.S. Naval Power," "Beware a Revanchist China" and "China's Cyber Spies are Stealing More Than Secrets."

Such concerns have gained attention at the White House. In November 2011, President Obama announced a "pivot" of U.S. focus toward Asia, including the stationing of what will eventually be a 2,500-Marine unit in the northern Australian city of Darwin. Such a move, Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd wrote in an article in Foreign Affairs magazine, was "entirely appropriate. Without such a move, there was a danger that China, with its hard-line, realist view of international relations, would conclude that an economically exhausted United States was losing its staying power in the Pacific."
 
It's clear the Pentagon takes the potential of a future military conflict between China and India very seriously. When modern China fights it's first war it will most likely be with India. Attacking small countries like Philippines, Vietnam, or Taiwan will make China appear as an aggressor in the region; attacking India who it has a long disputed border and has fought a previous war in 1962 makes India a prime target. The new China has regional ambitions it has yet to achieve, and the new President Xi Jinping has also proven he is more hawkish when pursuing China's ambitions--one of which is to regain what it views as lost territory.

As for the US and the International community they of course won't intervene in such a war or for that matter take sides, international call for peace at best will be made. Any resolution condemning China in the UNSC will be vetoed by China itself. Europe, US, and Australia will not take punitive measures against China either--too many economic implications for that to happen.

Indian military high command and it's planners know very well they will be targeted and struck by China, their statements of a two-front war is a testament to that. Their mobilization of armed forces, air squadrons, and new mountain division recruitment also affirms their fears. India really has little to no hope of winning a military conflict with China all they can do is fight defensively and minimize as much damage as possible.
 
It's clear the Pentagon takes the potential of a future military conflict between China and India very seriously. When modern China fights it's first war it will most likely be with India. Attacking small countries like Philippines, Vietnam, or Taiwan will make China appear as an aggressor in the region; attacking India who it has a long disputed border and has fought a previous war in 1962 makes India a prime target. The new China has regional ambitions it has yet to achieve, and the new President Xi Jinping has also proven he is more hawkish when pursuing China's ambitions--one of which is to regain what it views as lost territory.

As for the US and the International community they of course won't intervene in such a war or for that matter take sides, international call for peace at best will be made. Any resolution condemning China in the UNSC will be vetoed by China itself. Europe, US, and Australia will not take punitive measures against China either--too many economic implications for that to happen.

Indian military high command and it's planners know very well they will be targeted and struck by China, their statements of a two-front war is a testament to that. Their mobilization of armed forces, air squadrons, and new mountain division recruitment also affirms their fears. India really has little to no hope of winning a military conflict with China all they can do is fight defensively and minimize as much damage as possible.

China will be left with two options. Either it will have to fight India or will have to lose Tibet.

US led NATO will give full military support to India with weapons if not troops.

India military is not sitting idly, things are in progress, just wait and see.

Meanwhile, let the Chinese underestimate India and sleep sound.
 
China will be left with two options. Either it will have to fight India or will have to lose Tibet.

US led NATO will give full military support to India with weapons if not troops.

India military is not sitting idly, things are in progress, just wait and see.

Meanwhile, let the Chinese underestimate India and sleep sound.


I doubt US and NATO will supply India with weapons in a conflict against China, they aren't brazen enough to do that. They will want the war to end soon as possible not prolong it, they know prolonging it gives PLA more time to inflict destruction on India. That's my opinion, really don't foresee India being supplied weapons.
 
I doubt US and NATO will supply India with weapons in a conflict against China, they aren't brazen enough to do that. They will want the war to end soon as possible not prolong it, they know prolonging it gives PLA more time to inflict destruction on India. That's my opinion, really don't foresee India being supplied weapons.

They are actually brazen enough to do such things. Otherwise, there would not have been a Vietnam war, an Iraq war, an Afghanistan war, and also there would not have been them being the sole superpower and ruling the world.
 
They are actually brazen enough to do such things. Otherwise, there would not have been a Vietnam war, an Iraq war, an Afghanistan war, and also there would not have been them being the sole superpower and ruling the world.


Invalid comparison, US-NATO attacking Afghanistan, Iraq, and Vietnam is not the same as US-NATO supplying weapons to India in a war against China. Considering, China will most likely discover weapons transfer via satellite and that will have international repercussions for many western countries. Besides, China is economically vital to the West far more than India. They aren't going to provide Indian military weaponry that will only prolong the war. Besides, even if they gave you weaponry of sophisticated variety your troops still need to learn how to operate the weaponry and master it before it can become effective in the battlefield, Indian army may not have enough time as the next war may very well be a short and decisive one.


Why don't you be specific and tell me what kind of military weaponry do you think US-NATO is going to supply India in a conflict against China?
 
Invalid comparison, US-NATO attacking Afghanistan, Iraq, and Vietnam is not the same as US-NATO supplying weapons to India in a war against China. Considering, China will most likely discover weapons transfer via satellite and that will have international repercussions for many western countries. Besides, China is economically vital to the West far more than India. They aren't going to provide Indian military weaponry that will only prolong the war. Besides, even if they gave you weaponry of sophisticated variety your troops still need to learn how to operate the weaponry and master it before it can become effective in the battlefield, Indian army may not have enough time as the next war may very well be a short and decisive one.


Why don't you be specific and tell me what kind of military weaponry do you think US-NATO is going to supply India in a conflict against China?

Not me, India's military... please. IA does not give me salary that I need to represent it.

The war has not started yet....

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This just has been made public, there are many but are classified.

I told you, things are in progress. Dalai Lama after all is growing older.
 
West will want both countries destroyed so that they can rule the world as good old days.

They are/will supply India with weapon system which can take heavy toll on Chinese.
They won't hesitate to kill China by firing from strong Indian shoulder.

@A1Kaid,be rest assured if matter worsens very much we will make sure we play very good villan in the end by nuking your country too.
 
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China will be left with two options. Either it will have to fight India or will have to lose Tibet.

US led NATO will give full military support to India with weapons if not troops.

India military is not sitting idly, things are in progress, just wait and see.

Meanwhile, let the Chinese underestimate India and sleep sound.

:cuckoo::cuckoo::cuckoo::cuckoo:
 
West will want both countries destroyed so that they can rule the world as good old days.

They are/will supply India with weapon system which can take heavy toll on Chinese.
They won't hesitate to kill China by firing from strong Indian shoulder.

@A1Kaid,be rest assured if matter worsens very much we will make sure we play very good villan in the end by nuking your country too.


That won't happen, Indian Government won't take that risk as they understand the consequences are too grave.
 
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If there is a war between China and India, these two would have to make peace. America should not and will not interfere in such a battle. One thing America would not do is to fight a continental style land war in Asia. Americans should not do what Asians ought to do for themselves.
 
If there is a war I hope its a long and decisive one, one with a complete end result. A short war will probably work in china's favor. This war should end either country and severely cripple the other. Be done with it. India needs to amass WMD'S.
 
Asians are dumbo and will continue to be so . When we see the west most of them are firmly united and here in Asia one quarter is fucked up , thanks to its ideology , the other quarter has been fucked by the west and the major half is ******* deciding to go on a war.
I am sure even if someday India and China occupy the first or second spot in GDP or vice versa it ain't gonna dethrone the status of superpower from the west . Shame :hitwall:
 
I doubt US and NATO will supply India with weapons in a conflict against China, they aren't brazen enough to do that. They will want the war to end soon as possible not prolong it, they know prolonging it gives PLA more time to inflict destruction on India. That's my opinion, really don't foresee India being supplied weapons.

US does not need to supply any Weapon to India in case of conflict with China. It just need to ensure India that it would replenish the reserves later on.


Have you heard about Tel-Aviv airlift during Yom-Kippur war?

It is considered to have influenced outcome of war even though not a single bullet landed in Israel before the war was close to end.

The reason that it influenced outcome was because since israel knew that US would be sending supplies, they were able to use their assests in much riskier manner than they would have if they have to save some for protracted war.


Most of critical assets used by Indian Army on chinese border like M-777 howitzers are of US origin. The fact that US would replenish supplies would lead to adoption of much aggressive doctrine by Indian generals presenting problem for china.
 

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