Binkov's Battlegrounds China Vs India

[ssethii]

Results:
Marginal Chinese Victory.

 

[war&peace]

Very pathetic analysis. If we go by 1962 and Dokhlam, India stands no chance. If it is kept only a conventional war, India will lose out very quickly as China has already started building army and airbases along Indian border.

 

[Papa Dragon]

A complete Indian victory over Pak by the same channel. Well this is an expected outcome anyway

 

[Dante80]

Have in mind that Binkov thoroughly researches the scenarios he plays out, using both Monte Carlo analysis and MilSim software to crunch out the data. Always take the scenarios depicted as an amateur exercise, but don't be so fast to dismiss them broadly and without justification.

Also, have in mind that said scenarios have arbitrary restrictions imposed (you can think of them like game rules), to both limit the amount of variance involved and also remove simulation uncertainty. This means that said scenarios are not exactly realistic, but a thoughtful exercise in strategic analysis. View them as such.

 

[seesonic]

His analysis did not factor the logistic capability of both nations..

Whenever tension between India China escalates.. India goes into panic buy for munition.

His given "simulation" is based on best case scenario where everything works as planned but in reality the IA seems inadequate..

Not forgetting no mentioning of J20