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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

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China would need a base in Myanmar and Pakistan to assist in fighting off the Yanks. There won't be direct confrontation once we have 6 carrier groups.
Pakistan is too weak economically and militarily to be of any use to China. China needs to vamp up the military technology projects in Pakistan to strengthen for Pakistan to be able to make any influence in the region.

As for how well Russia fares against NATO depends on how much China supports Russia. China is the only nation which can provide substantive economic and military support by buying oil and gas and by selling weapons to Russia. For China to be successful with Taiwan it most likely will support Russia as a key player in the multipolar world. US reaction will be to tighten up more sanctions on China which will create in stability in the world economy.
 
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Pakistan is too weak economically and militarily to be of any use to China. China needs to vamp up the military technology projects in Pakistan to strengthen for Pakistan to be able to make any influence in the region.

As for how well Russia fares against NATO depends on how much China supports Russia. China is the only nation which can provide substantive economic and military support by buying oil and gas and by selling weapons to Russia. For China to be successful with Taiwan it most likely will support Russia as a key player in the multipolar world. US reaction will be to tighten up more sanctions on China which will create in stability in the world economy.

Totally true. I know Pakistanis have a lot of support for China in the staredown with India, but does it hold the other way around?

China will hold relation with Pakistan in as much esteem as Pakistan is useful to Beijing, and at the moment, IMHO, it barely useful if it is at all.

TLDR: Most Chinese now cannot find Pakistan on the map.
 
Well, the core of the usage of HIMARS or MLRS system like that is to disrupt your enemy logistic.

First of all, there are virtually no way you can stop Russian from launching Artillery Attacks, as long as they have rounds and tube, they will continue to be doing so, the question now become how you can mitigate such attacks.

Now, you can do it in one of the two ways, target the main supply effort (or Main Line of Communication)or disrupt their region supply depots (The one that serve the immediate area). Both are each of their own. As I mentioned before, if this was me, and when I get my hands on MLRS like M270 or HIMARS, I will go after their Main Line of Communication (Kupiansk) , because you disrupt the normal flow of supplies, it will not stop the onslaught for now, since the "Ready to Use" stuff are already distributed, but it will hamper the supply effort, effectively your line of supply will be interrupted and will have a hard time filtering supply. That's very simple, you disrupt the supply coming from Russia, you increasingly lower the amount that supply get to the front.

What the Ukrainian is doing is the other way, they are targeting the regional depots. Which make immediate disruption to the Russian supplies in the frontline, it basically lower the Russian warfighting capability by taking their supply out. This is harder task, may not be as useful (because there will be multiple supply dump serving the same area and you need to hit them all) but this will stop the immediate flow of supply.

As for why the Ukrainian do what they did, my educated guess is that they dont have enough HIMARS or M270s to make a large scale interruption that would work in Kupiansk. Which is why they are doing these hit and run type tactics.

The Russian is in strategic pause at the moment, which mean they are regrouping, and intelligence estimate they are probably 40-50% understrength, and in military term, they are culminated, unless the Russian can raise another 30-40 Full size BTG, they probably aren't going to move anywhere inland. Even after R&R, what I heard is they manage to raise 10 BTG of "volunteer" This is not going to be enough for the push.

So what the Ukrainian now doing is, they got their men trained in Ukraine, UK, Germany, Norway, France and Poland, they are raising 100,000 men every 2 to 3 months, what the Ukrainian is waiting on is the latest round of Western Equipment, afterward you can probably see the Ukrainian are going to make a push late August to early September, for now, Ukraine did the sensible thing and disrupting Russian supply as they waited.


That place has been contented more times then my mother jewellery in the will after she passed away.

Russia lost that place, they are staring down the Ukrainian counter attack. Ukraine lost that place, they can't do much but counter attack from the coast line.

And last I check, it was Ukrainian who held that place....

I bet they can only have so much ammo because they stockpiled it somewhere close by, like in Crimea, or Donetsk over these 8 years.

While Kupyansk, and Crimea are their 2 main logistic lines, the amount of supplies passing them is certainly not matching Russian enormous ammo expenditure. Most of videos of Russian supply trains going around are of them bringing in bulky heavy ammo/missiles only.

I would say it would barely be possible to feed Russian ammo expenditure even if Russia were to put its entire military logistics on these 2 lines, and we know, it doesn't.

I strongly suspect they are fighting using ammo caches they prepared beforehand, rather than bringing in everything from Russia.
 
More and more photos are emerging from downed GMLRS missiles, used by the HIMARS systems and downed by the Pantsir-S1. Pay attention to the shrapnel holes in the front sector in the first pic. That means the fuse used in the 23Ya6 missiles are working very well, even with the extreme high relative speeds of around 2km/s between the GMLRS and the 23Ya6 missile.

Even the top tier american SAM Patriot failed here against Scuds, because the suberb american engineers failed to consider the high relative speed involved in shooting down ballistic targets, so the patriot warhead detonated too late. Here we have a pointdef SAM downing >M3 ballistic targets on a daily basis ...

Some infos about anti ballistic missile systems and the physics involved here:

 

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