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Indian conventional superiority a myth?

SU-30 is large plane with more RCS its easy to shot it down . just look its monster size .

Exactly

Any half decent missile should be able to get a lock on a su30

Its why they are kept away from the front line and the indians got mig 21s and mirages
 
Exactly

Any half decent missile should be able to get a lock on a su30

Its why they are kept away from the front line and the indians got mig 21s and mirages
they have more secret weapon also called jaguar which they claim paksitan eater . nazer nhi aya phir time per :lol:
 
So PAF decisively defeats the IAF that came with SU-30MKIs with just JF-17s.

Looks like the JF-17 is a bit better than we thought and the Su-30MKI is not as good as imagined.

Indians will now be worried that even the Rafale will not help them as the PAF will just use the JF-17 Block 3 against it. Block 3 will introduce AESA radar, more powerful engine and will surely get the new PL-10 WVR and PL-15 BVR AAMs.

Does what happened on the 27th of February totally change the conventional calculus between India and Pakistan?

Not at all don't underestimate them this was just one incident Pak seemed to get the better of them -India definitely does has conventional and numerical superiority and they are on the warpath that's one of the reasons why Pak got nuclear weapons. Better to stay alert and prepared than get too comfy.
 
So PAF decisively defeats the IAF that came with SU-30MKIs with just JF-17s.

Looks like the JF-17 is a bit better than we thought and the Su-30MKI is not as good as imagined.

Indians will now be worried that even the Rafale will not help them as the PAF will just use the JF-17 Block 3 against it. Block 3 will introduce AESA radar, more powerful engine and will surely get the new PL-10 WVR and PL-15 BVR AAMs.

Does what happened on the 27th of February totally change the conventional calculus between India and Pakistan?
Its not myth they are superior in all out war
My guess is it's 1:3 in land and air and 1:6 in naval

But aggressor these days needs to have 100 to 200 times strength to make war acceptable
 
Not at all don't underestimate them this was just one incident Pak seemed to get the better of them -India definitely does has conventional and numerical superiority and they are on the warpath that's one of the reasons why Pak got nuclear weapons. Better to stay alert and prepared than get too comfy.


Yes but is the superiority that significant?

India cannot use all it's forces against Pakistan as a major chunk needs to be kept facing China.
 
But this is based upon paper poor training will drastically reduce this gap

In airforce i have pointed out before they have severe pilot shortage 0.8 to 1 severe training issues with their trainers
 
Remember what happened during Israel and middle East war? Israel won with clear dominance instead of being small in size both land as well as population and not to forget their military size ...

It's quality and technology that matters ... With good economy and better gadgets we can easily out smart them ...and not to forget what our religion teaches us ... 313 Vs 1000 well equipped ...

As a Muslim we believe that victory comes from ALLAH
Besides good to see rapid modernization of navy ..if we compare what they had and what they have on order ..there is some serious thought process going on within the ranks of navy .. although the quality of Chinese submarines is yet to be seen ..but on paper 4 frigates 8 subs and 4 corvette on order is a good jump

In airforce we just need one more platform in 4.5+ generation category with 54 in number i.e. 3 squadrons and we will be good to go

As of now we need to work on economy everything else will automatically fall in place
I agree in principal with your instance however, your statement about Israel is incorrect ... Israel was having full support from west and was getting ammunition supply specially from US on the contrary Arabs were getting sanctions on most of the equipment they had ...
 
Yes but is the superiority that significant?

India cannot use all it's forces against Pakistan as a major chunk needs to be kept facing China.
As long as they think they are superior they might do that

Will be surpsing whether china will annex the part it claims after Pakistan and india both use up their forces...i think not but they might
 
So PAF decisively defeats the IAF that came with SU-30MKIs with just JF-17s.

Looks like the JF-17 is a bit better than we thought and the Su-30MKI is not as good as imagined.

Indians will now be worried that even the Rafale will not help them as the PAF will just use the JF-17 Block 3 against it. Block 3 will introduce AESA radar, more powerful engine and will surely get the new PL-10 WVR and PL-15 BVR AAMs.

Does what happened on the 27th of February totally change the conventional calculus between India and Pakistan?

Su-30 never fared good in any international exercise, because IAF almost always tried to apply it in the dog fight role, and dog fighter it is NOT.
This time Indians tried to act smart and tried to guide their more agile mig-21 with SU-30 radar.
Apparently this newly devised strategy fail miserably.
jF-17 managed to go closer to Su-30 due to it's low RCS and hit him from safe distance. Such was speculated by experts from long time but Indian defense expert decided to remain in denial about the potential of toys which Pakistan has.
 
We lost Mig 21 that too a SAM over Azad Kashmir airspace , pakistan is talking as if half of IAF got wiped out .
It's not even a warm up .
So PAF decisively defeats the IAF that came with SU-30MKIs with just JF-17s.

Looks like the JF-17 is a bit better than we thought and the Su-30MKI is not as good as imagined.

.

Does what happened on the 27th of February totally change the conventional calculus between India and Pakistan?
Yes , in a parallel world where F16 didn't participate in the engagement and India actually lost a SU30 but nobody has whip of it where the debris gone and pilots vanished .
 
Remember what happened during Israel and middle East war? Israel won with clear dominance instead of being small in size both land as well as population and not to forget their military size ...
I beg to differ. Comparing Israel/Arab situation with Pak/India is not the same. Arab incompetence was the reason for Israel's victory. India isn't inept like the Arabs. Let's look at just one example below...the Six Day War...where a smaller Israeli airforce took out larger Arab airforces.

IAF had roughly 200 planes to go up against roughly 600 of combined Arab forces it was going to face. So they decided to carry out preemptive strikes in order to destroy Arab aircrafts on the ground. First Egypt was on the list bcuz Egypt was by far the biggest threat and they also had like 30 Il-28 bombers, which would've pounded away at Israeli targets and needed to be eliminated. This started operation Moked.

Israel's brilliant planning/execution...
- getting 183 planes in the air...all combat ready. This was 183 out of like 200 or so. This is impressive in its own right
- Israelis had collected intel during peacetime and had their targets pre selected.
- Israelis had planned/trained for this operation they carried out on that day for a long time, which shows that they prepared for all eventualities/scenarios.
- Israeli ground crews had practiced the rearming and refueling of returning aircraft in less than eight minutes, which allowed the strike aircraft of the first wave to fly in the second. It's due to this that after the initial first wave attack on Egyptian airbases, the second wave came in after a pause of just 10 minutes

Egyptian incompetence...
- Jordanians had picked up on their radars a huge number of Israeli aircrafts taking off and sent a coded warning to Egyptians...but the Egyptians had changed their codes the day before without bothering to inform the Jordanians.
- the commanders of the Egyptian armed forces and air force were away from their posts on an inspection tour, flying aboard a transport as the Israeli aircraft came in...they didn't want their own antiaircraft gunners to mistake them for Israelis and blast them out of the skies, so they had ordered that Egyptian air defenses not to fire on any aircraft while the transport plane was in the air.

In just under three hours Egypt lost 293 of its nearly five hundred aircraft...including all of its Tu-16 and Il-28 along with 185 MiG fighters.

Syria/Jordan/Iraq met with similar fates afterwards. Once a majority of the enemy jets were destroyed on the ground, Israel easily established air superiority...this ensured victory bcuz when ur enemy has air superiority all the marching tank columns and troops on the ground are just sitting ducks.

India has demonstrated in its past wars with Pak that it is not inept in fighting wars. It can easily keep up with Pak in terms of planning/strategizing/execution. So this comparison with Arabs/Israel doesn't apply.
It's quality and technology that matters ... With good economy and better gadgets we can easily out smart them ...and not to forget what our religion teaches us ... 313 Vs 1000 well equipped ...As a Muslim we believe that victory comes from ALLAH
Right...quality and technology are indeed very important but that's a fictional scenario as of now. As things stand today...India either matches us or exceeds in terms of technology for all the war equipment. This is why it's imperative that Pak improves its economic situation.

As for the 313 vs 1000...again I would say that comparison doesn't apply here. There are many non Muslim militaries that have won decisive victories of Muslim militaries throughout centuries. In fact right after Ghazwa-e-Badr(the one u referenced), there was Ghazwa-e-Uhud...where Muslims lost. Many of the ones from Ghazwa-e-Badr participated in that one too...Prophet Muhammad(PBUH) was there fighting as well...and yet Muslims lost. There's a lesson to be learned there. Muslims lost because of tactical error. On part of Prophet Muhammad(PBUH), he did his job...he identified a key area that needed to be protected and its through there that Muslims got flanked bcuz the ppl tasked with securing that area didn't do their job.

God doesn't come down to give Muslims an upper hand. Nor are u always guaranteed some favor of God just bcuz u are Muslim(in name only). If that was the case then Muslims would never have lost a battle...and non Muslims would have caught on to that phenomenon by now and turned Muslims themselves. God has instructed Muslims to follow a basic set of rules...and if non Muslims follow them, they end up reaping the same rewards. One example that comes to mind is unity. It is highly stressed upon...and yet Muslims of today don't have it. Each mullah is busy trying to prove that their sect or their interpretation of Islam is right...while declaring the others kafir. Each Muslim country is busy doing their own thing...Arabs/Iranians have a power struggle going on between them. All of this infighting weakens Muslim countries around the world. In comparison the western countries are all united. Western European countries/Australia/Canada/US stand together on their agenda. Together they put sanctions on whatever country that doesn't fall in line and bring it to its knees economically. Muslim countries with their collective economy, supply of oil(Middle East), population(labor), trade, etc. would also be a force to be reckoned with if they stood together.

We(Muslims) were once pioneers in mathematics, sciences, arts...we had brilliant generals like Khalid Bin Walid...unquestioning devoted followers who didn't hesitate to burn their boats on the order of Tariq Bin Ziyad...we were united when we were Muslims. But what are we now?...as Iqbal had put it in Jawab-e-Shikwa...

یوں تو سید بھی ہو، مرزا بھی ہو، افغان بھی ہو
تم سبھی کچھ ہو، بتاؤ مسلمان بھی ہو​

Anyways I digress...the point is that just having the label of Muslim grants us no special favors from God...it is our actions that matter. Following the path that God has set is what leads to greatness.
Besides good to see rapid modernization of navy ..if we compare what they had and what they have on order ..there is some serious thought process going in within the ranks of navy .. although the quality of Chinese submarines is yet to be seen ..but on paper 4 frigates 8 subs and 4 corvette on order is a good jump
Coming back to topic from my long rant...I'm highly in favor of the 8 submarines. Since due to economic reasons it is hard to keep up with India conventionally...especially in terms of Navy bcuz naval assets are really expensive as compared to tanks and jets...Pak should in the meantime turn to asymmetric counters. Submarines are a great A2/AD asset. No matter how big the Indian navy those 8 + 3(upgraded) submarines will be a thorn that will keep it from advancing to Pak's shores unhindered.
In airforce we just need one more platform in 4.5+ generation category with 54 in number i.e. 3 squadrons and we will be good to go
This may or may not be possible depending on economic situation. PAF's limited resources are already highly invested in JF17 block III and NGF(under Azm). The economy is barely hanging on with looming debt repayment crisis. Maybe J10s financed on loans?
As of now we need to work on economy everything else will automatically fall in place
Yes...that's the one thing that will solve all problems and for that all Pakistanis need to work hard and work in unison.
 
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Main conventional strength of India comes with their bigger size and bigger population. Even if Pak operated superior quality jets/tanks/naval ships/etc...in a war of attrition Pak would run into trouble. In order to match India conventionally Pak would have to match quality and quantity...which isn't going to be possible bcuz of the sheer difference in land area(resources) and population(utilizable labor) between the two countries.
I give a simple example .
Since 28th areal engagement , 100% pakistani airspace is closed till today , while only 20% of Indian airspace is closed to commercial traffic .
This is scenario India Visa vis Pakistan in every aspect we are basically five times bigger than u . Result of a direct conflict India and Pakistan is easily imaginable .
 
Do you feel those changes are perhapes already happening?
Too early to say. I will wait to see the first term of this government conclude. Even then the change might not be visible. Change on a countrywide scale is usually slow...especially when turning around the sinking ship that Zardari/Nawaz left us with. If IK can just stop the downward spiraling(declining exports, chronic power shortages, etc.) in his first term then he has more than earned a second term.
 
Su 30mki has the RCS of berka dutts butt its capabilities has overly exaggerated and Jf 17 capabilities have been underplayed but pilot skills matter my friend it dies not matter the capabilities of the airplane if you have donkeys flying it
Its a good aircraft. Let's not understate that fact.
The question is, is it a good strike option? Probably not if you are trying to conduct strikes in stealthily. If you have air superiority then they are fine because it can carry a lot. It has a pretty large radar signature for stealthy strikes but you go to war with the options you have and not what you wish for.

India's solution here would be to bring in Rafale for such strikes with backing from their existing fleet.
Pakistan will have to counter that iA.
 
Not entirely true. Just because India has a larger military doesn't give them that much of an advantage and a war of attrition is highly unlikely.
India can't send its entire military against Pakistan and even if they are to move a large percentage of their forces against Pakistan they will need to be sure that there will be no funny moves by other rivals (China).
While India is certainly doing vastly better than Pakistan economically and has superior industrial capacity their military is still suffering from poor equipment and have even failed to design a working assault rifle to replace the Ak-47.
Also more troops means more strain on logistics and the corruption and inefficiency of the Indian military will hit hard on the war efforts
Right all of those are factors...and taking into account those factors I still think India has a conventional military edge over Pak.

The inefficiency/corruption that plagues the Indian military complex where they failed to design a decent replacement for AK47 like u mentioned and other such issues...are very minor. They can be corrected for within 5 years if there's someone competent in charge.

As for the two front war scenario...where India would have to keep some assets keeping in mind China...that is helpful for Pak...but despit divided assets, it's still a huge numerical superiority Indian military would have against Pak. The only way tide would turn is if both China/Pak were engaged in a war with India. Throughout history though Pak has fought alone...and at a conventional disadvantage.
 

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